Saturday 8 March 2014

Decoding Hamid Karzai

http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/lead/decoding-hamid-karzai/article5761465.ece

Karzai is a politician at heart and one needs to understand his apprehensions and opportunistic nature before we raise our brows on his decision to not sign the Bilateral Security Agreement (BSA). Karzai can’t run for next presidential elections due to limited terms provision. Next elections are on 5th April and there are 11 eligible contenders with Abdullah Abdullah and Dr. Ashraf Ghani as the front-runners.
Both Abdullah Abdullah and Dr. Ashraf Ghani have agreed to sign the BSA. Under BSA some American forces will stay back after US forces withdrawal by end of 2014 and guess who won’t like it – Taliban. Karzai has nothing to gain by signing the BSA or by supporting the US action, but he has a lot to gain in denying them. Taliban has already applauded Karzai’s decision to not sign the BSA. Karzai can be picturing himself as playing a lead role in bridging the communication gap between the upcoming government in Afghanistan and Taliban. So, gaining the appreciation from Taliban for his efforts can increase his political mileage. So, is Karzai crazy?

No, he is a shrewd politician trying to secure his and his country’s future and decrease the dependence of Afghanistan on US and western aids and military. But his recent move to release 65 detainees may have been more than required efforts to please Taliban. According to reports, he has been negotiating with Taliban without informing the western counterparts. If things go well for Karzai, he may be remembered in Afghan history for bringing the Taliban and Kabul Government together.

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